Trading Report Card – Aug 10

by Alvin on September 3, 2010

Time flies. August seems like a fast month for me. There were also a lot of changes going on with my investment capital, focus and brokers.

Let’s talk about brokers first. I have closed my MFGlobal account as the capital was no longer segregated from their operating account. I shift all the capital to POEMS. I also have another forex account with CityIndex which I eventually closed too as I was looking into an account to trade both stocks and forex. T3B recently got in Kinetic Securities from Australia to offer accounts to us. I must say they are offering what we wanted and these are the reasons why I like them:

  • Segregated account (a must)
  • Nice platform interface that tells you commission, margins, interests etc. Basically the cost of getting into the trade
  • Many order types but I mainly use stop orders and if done (not many brokers have if done orders)
  • Good range of stocks
  • Easy to edit buy and sell orders
  • Trade both stocks and forex (commodities too)
  • Can assess stocks database without data charges (unlike MFGlobal which you need to pay for live data to even display stocks lists)
  • Nice courteous staff

Of course there is a bad thing about Kinetic. They are based in Australia so I have to Telegrahic Transfer my money to Australia. And dear DBS does not allow me to TT SGD to Australia. So I have to suffer 2 exchange rates conversion. It costs me around S$300! The good news is that they will be setting up a Singapore Branch and a Trust bank account here. So it is better to wait for them to come.

As the POEMS CFD does not allow me to place stop orders out of market trading hours, I find it hard to trade. I tend to enter later (at higher price) and sell later (at lower price). Hence, I decided to use the capital to buy stocks with cash. Especially I just attended Dennis’s “Secrets to Making in Stocks“, I would want to allocate some capital to invest in stocks using fundamental analysis. I still have one live counter left with POEMS CFD which would eventually be closed out (not shown in table).

HL Asia is one good example that I could not get out in time because of not being able to place a stop order. It just dropped away from my desired exit price, which could have triggered if I have a stop order in place.

Looks like a bad month huh? Somehow I did not feel sad about the losses. I have gathered alot of confidence to make money over the long run, and this loss is temporary. It seems like I have detached myself from money and it makes my trading decisions easy to execute. So what gave me the confidence? I attended Teacher Keane’s mass gathering in end Jul where one thing struck me – backtesting. I have done some backtesting on the T3B system and I think I have found the problem with my trading. I was “three feet short of gold”. I know you don’t get what I mean, I shall post the summary of the gathering (I owe you 2 as there were 2 gatherings since I posted the first one) and the backtesting results. Stay tune!

There are no forex trades for Aug as I was patiently waiting for EUR/USD to show a buy signal.

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Here’s an important update on the new property rules in Singapore. Written by Dennis Ng, founder of housingloan.sg and masteryourfinance.com:

After the National Day Rally speech by Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong on 29 Aug 2010, today Ministry of National Development and HDB announced some measures on the property market. To summarise, the changes are as follows:
 
#1. Increase the holding period for imposition of Seller’s Stamp Duty (SSD) from the current one year to three years. This is on a step-down basis, ie. Sell within 1 year, 100% of SSD is payable. Sell within 2 years, 2/3 of SSD is payable, sell within 3 years, 1/3 of the SSD is payable. Sell after 3 years, no SSD payable.

Note: If Option to Purchase is exercised on 30 Aug 2010 or later, you’re affected.

#2. For property buyers who already have one or more outstanding housing loans at the time of the new Property purchase:

Increase the minimum cash payment from 5% to 10% of the valuation limit; and Decrease the Loan-to-Value (LTV) limit for housing loans granted by financial institutions regulated by MAS to these buyers from the current 80% to 70%. Thus, if you have an existing property that is fully paid, and have no outstanding Housing Loan, if you buy a property, you might still get 80% financing.
 
Note: Above measures on the Cash Downpayment and 70% Financing Limit apply to all property purchase with Date of Option to Purchase dated 30 Aug or later.

#3. Changes to Purchasers of non-subsidised flats and Resale HDB Flats.

Note: * Resale flat bought without CPF housing grant. The MOP will be computed from the effective date of purchase of the non-subsidised flats.
 
Measures announced by HDB on 30 Aug 2010:

  • Allow households earning between $8,000 and $10,000, to buy new DBSS flats with a $30,000 CPF Housing Grant;
  • Increase the supply of new flats, Design, Build and Sell Scheme (DBSS) flats, and Executive Condominiums (EC);
  • Shorten the completion time of Build-To-Order (BTO) flats;
  • Increase the Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) for non-subsidised flats to 5 years; and

Disallow concurrent ownership of both HDB flats and private residential properties within the MOP.
 
#4. Anyone who owns a Private Property CANNOT purchase a HDB flat, whether New or Resale. If you own a Private Property and purchase a HDB Resale Flat, you need to sell off your Private Property within 6 months.
 
Note: This will help ensure that buyers purchase HDB flats only when they have the intent of staying in it for long term and ensure equitable treatment for all HDB flat lessees during their MOP. Ownership of private properties by HDB lessees will be allowed after the MOP.

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Starhill Global REIT – Fundamental Analysis

31 August 2010

Starhill Global REIT invests in retail space at prime location. Based on her 2009 annual report, there are 10 properties in the portfolio. Locally, the REIT has Ngee Ann City (27.33%) and Wisma Atria (74.23%). 7 of the properties are in Tokyo and 1 in Chengdu. They just acquired David Jones Building in Perth and [...]

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Review: Secrets to Making Money in Stocks Seminar

28 August 2010

This is a 2-day seminar conducted by Dennis Ng. The experience I have in stock investing was mainly trading and I took up this course because it offers to build my arsenal in the stock market with fundamental analysis.
The lesson began with the bonus material – investing into gold and silver. In recent years, gold and [...]

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Investment Clock by Trevor Greetham

24 August 2010

Trevor Greetham developed the “Investment Clock” concept while at Merrill Lynch. In 2006, he was appointed as Asset Allocation Director at Fidelity. He practised this investment clock as a strategy as a portfolio manager for Multi-Asset Strategic Fund.
But what is this investment clock concept about? Below is a depiction (taken from Fidelity website)

How it works?
Investment [...]

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Review: How to Save and Accumulate One Million Dollars Seminar

22 August 2010

I attended the above mentioned seminar on 14 Aug 10. Why do I attend seminars? Because I want to get new perspectives and learn things that will bring me nearer to my goals. Some people may think that it is a waste of money but I think it is a waste only if you attend with [...]

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Your Greatest Asset

18 August 2010

What is your greatest asset? Not your house. Not your car. Not even your $1 Billion dollars (assuming you have). Your greatest asset is located between your ears. Yes, it is your mind.
Why is the mind or our ability to think our greatest asset? Now is the period of Youth Olympics so let’s talk about sportsman/sportswoman. My friend [...]

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Sakae Holdings – Fundamental Analysis

15 August 2010

I like sashimi. Sakae is an affordable Japanese restuarant to go to. It has become a name that is synonomous with Jap food and sushi. Let’s take a look how their stocks fare.
The current price of Sakae Holdings share is S$0.200. In 2009, the earnings per share is S$0.023. This gives a P/E ratio of less [...]

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You cannot afford to delay your retirement savings

13 August 2010

Dennis Ng, founder of housingloansg.com and masteryourfinance.com wrote an article for MyPaper on 11 Aug 10. I have translated it into English here. For the mandarin version, pls refer to the attached pdf file: 为退休准备,不能延迟了
“I’m still young, why worry about retirement?” This is a rather common answer. Do you have the same thinking?
Suppose you are [...]

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Money and Happiness

10 August 2010

In the afterword of “All the Money In the World“, Peter Bernstein and Annalyn Swan inquired the frequently asked question, “Does it make millionaires and billionaires happy – or at least happier?” They quoted Daniel Gilbert ’s book, “Stumbling on Happiness” – “economists and psychologists have spent decades studying the relation between wealth and happiness, [...]

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